Blogger Archives: Tim Holt

Tim Holt

Tim is Head of Inform at Alert:24, a new crisis and risk management consultancy from Special Contingency Risks. He has spent much of his career in regions of risk with the British Army, the Red Cross and on cease-fire negotiations. He has worked globally for corporations, the British Government, NGOs and the UN as a risk management adviser and responder, encouraging intelligence-driven risk management.

Pakistan Situation Update: Karachi Airport Attack

Attack at Jinnah International Airport

In a significant challenge to Pakistan’s authority and ability to protect strategic assets, Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) has claimed responsibility for an audacious attack at Karachi’s Jinnah International Airport Sunday night (8th – 9th June). Continue reading →

Terrorism in Kenya – Situation Update

Nairobi bombing May 16

The tempo, targeting and geographical extent of the terrorist threat in Kenya point to the prospect of further attacks (including abductions) in the short to medium term in spite of considerable counter-terrorism efforts by Kenya and the international community. Continue reading →

Ukraine Update

Sloviansk, Ukraine

The situation in Ukraine remains fluid, tense, and poised for a further escalation in violence that directly challenges the weaknesses of the Ukrainian state in the approach to the Presidential Elections on 25th May. The past eight days has seen … Continue reading →

The Capture of Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzmán

Homeland Security Investigations, a branch of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement Officials previously announced the discovery of a large drug trafficking operation from Mexico into Arizona. Source: U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (Department of Homeland Security)

The high profile and dramatic capture of “El Chapo” marks a significant victory for Peña Nieto’s administration’s strategy on tackling drug trafficking organisations. However, it could also herald a shift in Mexico’s criminal landscape and prompt a series of swift … Continue reading →

Ukrainian Unrest

Protester wearing Ukraine state flag colors facing the massive fire set by protesters to prevent internal forces from crossing the barricade line. Kyiv, Ukraine. Source: Mstyslav Chernov

After a brief respite in violence, at least 77 people including a number of police and journalists are reported to have been killed over the past few days in renewed violence in Ukraine’s capital Kiev. This period of hostility was … Continue reading →

Sochi 2014 Olympics: Threats and Drivers

Security at the Sochi Olympics

As I write, hundreds of thousands of spectators and participants will be converging by air, sea, rail and road towards the Black Sea town of Sochi, sitting in the shadow of the now snow-laden Caucasian Mountains and the winter sports … Continue reading →

Al-Shabab, Kenya and the Implications for Security in East Africa


Any backlash from the recent Nairobi Westgate shopping mall attack may further polarise the Christian and Muslim populations in the region, creating fertile recruiting grounds and a more potent al-Shabab group. Continue reading →

Regional Implications of the War in Syria

Mourners toss rice as Lebanese army soldiers and relatives of Corporal Taleeb Mama carry his coffin and wave Lebanese national flags during his funeral in the Alawite Jabal Mohsen neighbourhood, in Tripoli, northern Lebanon, June 25, 2013. A picture of Syria's President Bashar al-Assad is seen in the background. The Lebanese government will try on Tuesday to secure the country after the deadliest violence since the start of a two-year conflict in neighbouring Syria that has pushed Lebanon's myriad militia to clashes. The army said 12 soldiers were killed in Sidon where troops stormed the mosque complex of hardline Sunni cleric Ahmed al-Assir. A medic told Reuters that 22 bodies had been pulled from the mosque complex. REUTERS/Stringer

The scope and scale of the civil war in Syria is widening, shifting dramatically from its roots in 2011 into a protracted conflict that encompasses the entire country. Continue reading →

Continuing Violence in Middle East and North Africa Highlights Dangers of Working and Travelling in the Region


The sudden closures of a number of Western embassies and the withdrawal of diplomatic staff in Middle Eastern and North African countries last week has put the operational dangers of working and travelling in the region into sharp focus. Continue reading →

Egypt and Tunisia – an Unquiet Transition

Fighting terrorism in North Africa

As violence continues in Egypt and, more unexpectedly, Tunisia, I have noted some similarities between the two developing situations. Continue reading →

Posts by Author in Portuguese:

Agitação ucraniana

Protester wearing Ukraine state flag colors facing the massive fire set by protesters to prevent internal forces from crossing the barricade line. Kyiv, Ukraine. Source: Mstyslav Chernov

Depois de uma breve pausa na violência, pelo menos 77 pessoas, incluindo um número de policiais e jornalistas foram relatados como mortos nos últimos dias, numa nova onda de violência na capital da Ucrânia, Kiev Continue reading →

Olimpíadas de Inverno Sochi 2014: Ameaças e Ameaçadores

Security at the Sochi Olympics

Enquanto escrevo, centenas de milhares de espectadores e participantes estão convergindo por ar, mar, ferroviário e rodoviário em direção à cidade de Sochi, sentando na sombra das montanhas caucasianas agora cobertas de neve e pelos Jogos de inverno de Krasnaya … Continue reading →

Risco na Cadeia de Fornecimento em um mundo turbulento

Anchor Chain

A combinação de experiência sobre o assunto e ampla experiência prática sustentada por evidências sólidas, compreensão histórica e presidência hábil, produziu um estimulante e instrutivo Willis Breakfast Briefing, na quarta-feira, 19 de junho. Continue reading →

Compreender o seu contexto para mitigar os riscos políticos e de segurança

Fighting terrorism in North Africa

Em um recente alerta: no 24º Briefing de Risco que eu participei, os profissionais de risco refletiram sobre as medidas que empresas devem tomar para mitigar uma série de riscos sócio-econômicos, políticos e de segurança, que permeiam os mercados emergentes. Continue reading →