Category Archives: Weather risk

When Winter Storms Cross Territories

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In the United Kingdom, 2015 left many with the struggle of recovering from flood waters after a series of severe storms brought gales and heavy rain to many parts. Continue reading →

After COP21 How Can Insurance Help us Adapt to Climate Change?

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A mix of hype, excitement, cautious optimism, scepticism and just plain cynicism has purveyed the world of climate science and risk management following the latest (21st) Conference of the Parties in Paris, otherwise known as COP21. Continue reading →

Building Resilience Around Natural Hazards and Climate Change

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A changing climate and rapidly growing exposure to natural catastrophes presents the world with an unprecedented challenge. Continue reading →

Quantifying European Windstorm Models: Comparing the Hazard Models

As we enter another European windstorm season, following a few inactive seasons, we need to look back to key historical events as a reminder of the high loss potential. Indexed to today’s prices and adjusting for market size, Willis Re … Continue reading →

2015 El Niño – Impacts on Hurricane Activity and Climate Links to Reinsurance Loss Activity

2015 El Niño As predicted earlier this year, an El Niño event has been developing in the Equatorial Pacific. By most objective metrics, the event looks to be strong, with all defining atmospheric or oceanic variables showing the characteristic El … Continue reading →

Strongest El Niño in Decades

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

Seasonal forecasting is a developing science. Skill is required for the scientific production of the forecast, but also in interpreting the information. However, if there is ever going to be a good time to check these long range forecasts, it … Continue reading →

Interactive Map of Hurricane Katrina

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Only ten years ago the city of New Orleans, “the Big Easy” was left battered and broken by ravaging winds and unyielding storm surge brought in by Hurricane Katrina. Even though it was a highly anticipated and well-forecast storm, Katrina … Continue reading →

30 Years Later: the Ontario Tornadoes of May 1985

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On May 31, 1985, a deadly tornado outbreak struck the Northeastern United States and Canada, causing widespread property damage and loss of life. Continue reading →

Strong El Niño on the Way?

Probabilistic sea surface temperature forecast from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble, made early May 2015, for the October-November-December 2015 average. Forecast is expressed as percent likelihood for each of three categories: Above normal, below normal, and near normal. Figure from CPC.

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology has predicted a “substantial” El Niño ahead, but about a year ago we also had predictions of a strong El Niño that never arrived. Will it be different this time? Continue reading →

Valuing Nature, Building Resilience

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It seems difficult to imagine a time when a clean environment was an afterthought and the well-being of the planet wasn’t linked to human well-being. The first Earth Day in 1970 was the beginning of raising environmental awareness across society. … Continue reading →