Tag Archives: Climate

Seasonal climate forecast for Europe

A thermometer in a window, showing a temperature of -25°C

At this time of year, in the midst of contract renewals, property insurers are keeping an eye on the long-range forecasts for the rest of the winter in Europe. We’ve all seen the headlines in the tabloids about the next … Continue reading →

Climate Resilience and Graceful Failure

Extreme weather events are opportunists. They strike indiscriminately, and selectively expose the parts of society that are underprepared and most vulnerable. We see the lack of resilience to extreme events in the most susceptible regions time and time again in … Continue reading →

Seasonal Forecasting: Understanding the “Crystal Ball”

weather forecasting

Weather prediction improved leaps and bounds during the satellite era, and in recent decades computational capabilities have grown immensely. However, forecasting the details of weather (rainfall amounts and locations for example) has fundamental limits, meaning we are unlikely to be … Continue reading →